UMass Amherst
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
1,229  Carly Zinner FR 21:49
1,429  Katie Powers SO 22:02
1,569  Rachel Hilliard SO 22:11
1,669  Sarah Barrett JR 22:18
1,817  Mary Cole JR 22:26
1,932  Elizabeth Blanchard FR 22:33
1,997  Molly McMahon FR 22:38
2,063  Danielle McNiff SR 22:43
2,293  Caprice Cappucci SR 22:59
2,424  Hannah White SO 23:08
2,515  Alexandra Purdue-Smithe JR 23:16
2,521  Catherine Ayers SO 23:17
2,598  Robyn Argo SO 23:22
2,798  Sarah Burke SO 23:38
3,311  Jasmine Abreu SO 24:48
National Rank #212 of 339
Northeast Region Rank #25 of 42
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 25th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 3.2%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Carly Zinner Katie Powers Rachel Hilliard Sarah Barrett Mary Cole Elizabeth Blanchard Molly McMahon Danielle McNiff Caprice Cappucci Hannah White Alexandra Purdue-Smithe
Lehigh's Paul Short Run (Gold) 09/28 1254 22:03 22:08 22:02 21:56 22:27 22:29 22:27 22:49 23:53
All New England Championship 10/07 1342 22:16 23:05 23:06 23:19 23:11
Brown University Rothenberg Invitational 10/19 1270 21:51 22:27 22:13 22:23 22:56 22:52 23:00 22:56 23:20
Atlantic 10 Championships 10/27 21:34 22:20
Northeast Region Championships 11/09 1247 21:47 21:35 22:11 22:27 22:39 22:10 22:43





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 24.7 756 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.9 4.2 8.9 14.5 17.4 18.6 12.7 9.6 5.3 3.2 1.4 0.8



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Carly Zinner 126.7
Katie Powers 142.5
Rachel Hilliard 154.4
Sarah Barrett 162.6
Mary Cole 174.3
Elizabeth Blanchard 182.8
Molly McMahon 188.8




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 0.1% 0.1 16
17 0.2% 0.2 17
18 0.4% 0.4 18
19 0.7% 0.7 19
20 1.9% 1.9 20
21 4.2% 4.2 21
22 8.9% 8.9 22
23 14.5% 14.5 23
24 17.4% 17.4 24
25 18.6% 18.6 25
26 12.7% 12.7 26
27 9.6% 9.6 27
28 5.3% 5.3 28
29 3.2% 3.2 29
30 1.4% 1.4 30
31 0.8% 0.8 31
32 0.2% 0.2 32
33 0.1% 0.1 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0